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PORTLAND, Maine (AP) — The state of Maine's long-cherished reputation for political independence is being threatened by the nation's polarized politics, with more and more of its voters feeling pressured to take sides. So-called independents, or unenrolled voters, have gone from the state's largest voting bloc to trailing both major parties in just four years. Republicans, too, overtook unenrolled voters two years later. As of last month, a tally of active voters indicated there were 343,488 Democratic voters, 279,936 Republican voters and 273,298 unenrolled voters. The economist served in the Maine Senate as an independent, and remains active on political issues.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Trump, Haley, , Zach Azem, — “, Sen, Angus King, Arizona’s Kyrsten, Vermont's Bernie Sanders, Jill Goldthwait, unenrolled, , , Paul LePage, Donald Trump, Mark Brewer, Brewer, they'll, State Shenna Bellows, Richard Woodbury, “ I’m, ” Woodbury, David Sharp, @David_Sharp_AP Organizations: New, New Hampshire GOP, Democratic, AP VoteCast, GOP, University of New Hampshire Survey, Republicans, Democratic Party, Republican, University of Maine, Trump, Congressional, State, Bureau of Motor Vehicles, Maine Senate Locations: PORTLAND, Maine, New Hampshire, Bar, District, Yarmouth
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPolitical analyst discusses the likelihood of a Trump-Biden election rematchAndrew Smith of University of New Hampshire Survey Center expects a rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump at the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Persons: Andrew Smith of, Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: Trump, Biden, Andrew Smith of University of New Hampshire Survey
New York CNN —New Hampshire, the “first-in-the-nation” primary state (which will hold those elections Tuesday), has been a relatively “better-off” state than most others nationally. Median income/povertyThe typical New Hampshire household has a higher income compared to the average in the United States, and a smaller share of state’s residents are in poverty. Southeastern New Hampshire — where three-quarters of the state’s residents live — benefits from being close to the Boston metropolitan area, said Phil Sletten, research director at the left-leaning New Hampshire Fiscal Policy Institute. Some 42% of New Hampshire residents approved of Biden on the economy, with 55% disapproving, according to a November CNN/University of New Hampshire poll. But when it comes to their personal finances, New Hampshire residents are downbeat.
Persons: ’ ”, Charlie Dougherty, , ” Dougherty, “ You’ve, Patricia M, Anderson, Patrick Connelly, ” Connelly, that’s, Brian Gottlob, , Spencer Platt, Lori Harnois, Gottlob, Phil Sletten, Sletten, Joe Biden, Biden, Gina Ferazzi Organizations: New, New York CNN —, United States, of Labor Statistics, Wells, Labor, Reserve, Dartmouth University, CNN, Housing, Tax Foundation, Tourism, Census, Granite State, Survey, New Hampshire —, University of New, Commerce Department, University of New Hampshire Survey Center, Patrons, Los Angeles Times, Independents Locations: New York, New York CNN — New Hampshire, Granite, New Hampshire, Boston, , New Hampshire, “ New Hampshire, , Hampshire, Chester , New Hampshire, Manchester, Devon, Bartlett , New Hampshire, Ohio, Washington, New, Canada, Pennsylvania, United States, Granite State, University of New Hampshire, Colebrook , New Hampshire
CNN —The race for the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary appears to be former President Donald Trump’s to lose, according to a new CNN poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire following Trump’s 30-point win in Iowa’s caucuses last week. Trump holds 50% support among likely Republican primary voters in the Granite State, while his closest competitor, former South Carolina Gov. Likely Republican and Democratic primary voters were identified through survey questions about their intention to vote. Results among 1,210 likely Republican primary voters have an error margin of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points. Results among 838 likely Democratic primary voters have an error margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, , Joe Biden, Biden, ” Biden, Dean Phillips, Marianne Williamson, Phillips, Biden hasn’t Organizations: CNN, New Hampshire Republican, University of New, Republican, South Carolina Gov, Trump, Florida Gov, GOP, Democratic, Biden, Democratic National, Minnesota, CNN New, University of New Hampshire Survey Locations: University of New Hampshire, Granite State, New Hampshire, Trump, Mexico, Russia, Ukraine, CNN New Hampshire, Hampshire
Should Trump Believe the Polls?
  + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( Lauren Camera | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +11 min
Former President Donald Trump is a polls guy. He’s currently languishing in fourth place, according to polls, behind Trump, Florida Gov. “In 2016, we experienced the phenomenon of the silent Trump voter, those who were secretly for Trump but feared being ostracized if they said so publicly,” he wrote. “A majority of the party is Maybe Trump,” Ayres says. A separate New Hampshire primary poll from Monmouth University and The Washington Post taken Nov. 9-14 shows similar results.
Persons: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Trump, Bradley, , Tom Bradley, , Adam Geller, , MAGA, Chris Christie’s, Christie, ” Christie, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Sen, Rick Santorum, Ben Carson, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, hasn’t, He’s, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, they’re, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy, Mark McKinnon, George W, Bush, John McCain, he’d, Whit Ayres, ” Ayres, Joe Biden, Haley, Ramaswamy, Civiqs, DeSantis, Jamie Dimon, Ayres, Jesus Organizations: White, Los Angeles, GOP, Capitol, National Research Inc, Trump, New, New Jersey Gov, Granite State Republicans, Donald Trump View, Arkansas Gov, MAGA Republican, Trump , Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, South Carolina, Republican, North Star Opinion Research, Republican Party, University of New Hampshire Survey Center, Monmouth University, The Washington, Koch Locations: California, , New Hampshire, New Jersey, Iowa, Trump, Texas, Trump , Florida, Georgia, Hampshire, Tuscaloosa , Alabama, Florida
Overall, Trump is the first choice of 39% of likely GOP primary voters in the first-in-the-nation primary state. That lags a bit behind his performance nationally, where Republican primary polling routinely finds Trump with majority support. Pence is the only candidate besides Christie with majority unfavorable views among likely GOP primary voters in New Hampshire (62% unfavorable). Few likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters raise serious doubts about Trump when asked to name their top concern about him as a candidate. Results among 845 likely Republican primary voters have an error margin of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points; it is larger for subgroups.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Ron DeSantis, He’s, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Chris Christie, Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Mike Pence, who’ve, Trump’s, they’ve, Christie, Pence, Asa Hutchinson, Ramaswamy, Haley, Scott, DeSantis Organizations: CNN, University of New, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, New, New Jersey Gov, GOP, Trump voters, Republican, Arkansas Gov, Trump, New Hampshire Republican, Ukraine, government’s Department of Education, CNN New, University of New Hampshire Survey Locations: New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, New Jersey, Carolina, CNN New Hampshire, Hampshire
Sununu said DeSantis would have show "charisma and leadership" in order to win the GOP primary. Despite the stream of GOP candidates in the state, former President Trump retains a polling edge. DeSantis has heavily touted after enacting plenty of conservative policies in Florida as a cornerstone of his candidacy, but New Hampshire Gov. Sununu recently argued that Trump polling below 50% in New Hampshire gave other candidates a huge opportunity to make the case for their respective candidacies. "Either you're willing to swing, you're willing to give the punch and take the punch and show leadership, or you're kowtowing," Sununu said during an interview on Fox News.
Persons: Sununu, DeSantis, We've, Hugh Hewitt's, Trump, — they're, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Chris Sununu, Hugh Hewitt, Hewitt, You've, you've, they've, Sen, Tim Scott of, Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley Organizations: GOP, Service, Republican, New Hampshire Gov, University of New, Gov, Trump, Fox News Locations: Wall, Silicon, New Hampshire, Granite State, Florida, University of New Hampshire, Tim Scott of South Carolina, North Dakota, New Jersey, South Carolina
GOP donors are eyeing Tim Scott's 2024 candidacy after campaign stumbles by both Trump and DeSantis. But Scott's current position has a clear upside, as potential supporters and prospective GOP donors are giving his campaign a closer look after stumbles by both Trump and DeSantis. So Scott's nascent campaign has become a potential alternative to a DeSantis candidacy among some Republicans, according to The New York Times. Sabin, who's hosting a fundraiser for affluent donors in the Hamptons in August, expressed frustration with both Trump and DeSantis. The businessman said that prospective donors were eyeing Scott's candidacy and "all want to see what he's about."
Persons: Tim Scott's, Scott, Tim Scott, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, who's, Trump, Andy Sabin, he's, Sabin, I've, , Vivek Ramaswamy, DeSantis, Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Iowa Republican caucusgoers Organizations: Trump, South, Service, Republican, Gov, Senate, GOP, Manhattan District, The New York Times, Sabin Metal Corporation, Times, Hamptons, of New, Fox Business, Iowa Republican Locations: South Carolina, Wall, Silicon, Florida, Fulton County , Georgia, DeSantis, of New Hampshire, North Dakota, New Jersey
Sununu said Trump's frontrunner status won't shift if GOP candidates aren't willing to go after him. "That's 60% of the voters right now that are not with Trump in New Hampshire," he said on Fox News. Chris Sununu on Saturday said that the crop of GOP presidential candidates going up against former President Donald Trump can defeat the ex-commander-in-chief if they're willing to go after him. "That's 60% of the voters right now that are not with Trump in New Hampshire," Sununu remarked while on-air. "Either you're willing to swing, you're willing to give the punch and take the punch and show leadership, or you're kowtowing," Sununu said, adding that it is unlikely that a GOP candidate will flip a committed Trump backer anyway.
Persons: Sununu, Chris Sununu, Donald Trump, they're, The New Hampshire Republican —, , dethrone Trump, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Sen, Tim Scott of, Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, He's, Chris, Christie, Joe Biden, Asa Hutchinson of Organizations: GOP, Trump, Fox News, Service, The New Hampshire Republican, of New, Gov, Republican Locations: New Hampshire, Wall, Silicon, The, of New Hampshire, Florida, Tim Scott of South Carolina, North Dakota, New Jersey, South Carolina, Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas
Mr. DeSantis needs a strong showing in New Hampshire — along with a win in the more conservative Iowa — to demonstrate that he has staying power in the race against his main rival for the Republican nomination, former President Donald J. Trump, the governor’s allies and some of his political advisers say. Mr. Trump is running 20 points ahead of Mr. DeSantis in New Hampshire, according to a mid-April poll from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. The challenge for Mr. DeSantis lies in how he separates himself from Mr. Trump, not just on policy but also in terms of personality. He also visited the state last month. The lawmakers who backed him, Mr. DeSantis said on the call, were “saying similar things like, you know, the governor is the guy, that he can win, he can get things done, all this other stuff.”
Trump on Saturday stepped up his criticism of DeSantis as the GOP presidential campaign heats up. As he spoke to reporters, the former president took credit for DeSantis' rise: "I got him elected." Ron DeSantis of Florida — a potential competitor for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination — stating that the Sunshine State leader "won't be leading" in polling and continuing to take credit for the former congressman's political ascent. Ron DeSantis of Florida at a news conference in Miami, Fla., on January 26, 2023. Polling in South Carolina has been murkier, with both Trump and DeSantis coming out on top in two separate polls released in the past few months.
"Through weakness and incompetence, Joe Biden has brought us to the brink of World War III," Trump said. "We’re at the brink of World War III, just in case anybody doesn’t know it. And they're sending, frankly, terrorists, or terrorists are coming on their own, and we can't allow this to happen," Trump said. At both stops, Trump singled out Hunter Biden, the president's son, for derision and appeared to blame the elder Biden for his adult child's problems. The campaign stops Saturday follow a lull since Trump launched his campaign at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida in November.
Vermont's Proposal 5, or Article 22, would make reproductive autonomy a state constitutional right. Proponents say that the measure will further protect abortion and contraception access. Currently, the state of Vermont has no restriction on abortion access and allows for abortions throughout a pregnancy, according to the Guttmacher Institute. Vermont Right to Life is leading the opposition, and argues that the amendment will make it harder to pass laws in the future that would ban or restrict abortion. What experts are sayingAs of October, 75% of Vermont voters would vote yes on Proposal 5, while 18% would vote no and 6% are unsure, a University of New Hampshire survey found.
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